possible fun monday night...

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY...
...ICY CONDITIONS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...
UNLESS THE MODELS MAKE A HUGE CHANGE...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY SITUATION ACROSS OUR NWRN FCST AREA (CWA) MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. BY MONDAY MORNING...EURO AND GFS HAVE
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT EXTENDING NE TO SW ACROSS OUR CWA. MOST OF THE
PRECIP IS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND WILL BE IN THE FORM OF
RAIN. HOWEVER SOME QPF EXTENDS BEHIND THE FRONT WHERE TEMPS WILL BE
FALLING ALL DAY ON MONDAY. SO MONDAY MORNING LOWS WILL LIKELY BE
MONDAY HIGHS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT LOW-LEVEL TEMPS/
THICKNESSES WILL DROP ENOUGH TO CREATE A RAIN/FZ RAIN MIX ACROSS OUR
NW MONDAY AFTN-EVE. BY 00Z TUESDAY...THERE SHOULD BE QUITE THE TEMP
GRADIENT ACROSS THE CWA... WITH RAIN STILL LIKELY ACROSS THE SERN
HALF...AND A SNOW/FREEZING RAIN MIX ACROSS THE NWRN HALF OF THE CWA
WHERE THERE WILL BE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS. IT IS DIFFICULT TO SAY AT
THIS TIME IF MORE SNOW THAN FREEZING RAIN WILL OCCUR...BUT
DEFINITELY ADVISORY-TYPE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THE ONLY
QUESTION MARK IS THAT THE GFS GIVES OUR NWRN A LULL IN THE PRECIP...
AND IT WOULD JUST BE LIGHT PRECIP IF ANYTHING IF IT VERIFIES. THIS
LIGHT PRECIP WOULD BE OVERRUNNING PRECIP FROM AN INVERTED TROUGH
PUSHING UP FROM THE SW. THE EURO AND NAM KEEP THE HEAVIER POST-
FRONTAL PRECIP AROUND LONGER AND IF THEY VERIFY THEN WE ARE IN FOR A
TREACHEROUS TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.